Demographics: The approaching major turning point in the history of the human race. 

Conventional demographics hold that the world's population will hit 10 billion by 2100 and then stabilize.

Others say world population will stabilize around 2050 and at a much lower levels. From a replacement birthrate perspective, the population may stabilize by early in the next decade. But population growth might continue until 2050, driven by the increased longevity. Under this scenario, population growth would result from increased health and longevity and not from reproduction and fertility.

Each scenario has important implications for world economic growth and country economic growth for the remainder of this century. Demographics and population dynamics have come to the forefront in recent years as companies and policy makers analyze the shifting economic and power implications of rapidly aging but increasingly physically healthy societies.

Most aging societies will respond by extending the age of retirement to 70 or 75.  And many of us will be both healthy and working at the age of seventy.

 Join us on Wednesday, May 30th at noon at The Buckhead Club as our speaker, Dick Hokenson, ISI Group's Managing Director of Global Demographics, discusses demographics.

At ISI Group, he is responsible for analysis and forecasting of global demographic trends and their associated economic and investment implications.

Prior to joining ISI, he had founded Hokenson & Company as an independent consulting company in May 2002. Before that, Mr. Hokenson was the Director of the Global Demographics Project at Credit Suisse First Boston. Prior to joining CSFB in the November 2000 merger, Mr. Hokenson was the Chief Economist at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where, since 1978, he pioneered the application of demographics to economic and financial market forecasting.

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Dick Hokenson joined ISI Group as Managing Director of Global Demographics on February 1, 2012. He is responsible for analysis and forecasting of global demographic trends and their associated economic and investment implications.  Prior to joining ISI, he had founded Hokenson & Company as an independent consulting company in May 2002.  Before that, Mr. Hokenson was the Director of the Global Demographics Project at Credit Suisse First Boston. Prior to joining CSFB in the November 2000 merger, Mr. Hokenson was the Chief Economist at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where, since 1978, he pioneered the application of demographics to economic and financial market forecasting.  Before DLJ, Mr. Hokenson served as senior economist at Merrill Lynch Economics from 1976 to 1977 and before that held the same position at Data Resources Inc. from 1973 to 1976.

Mr. Hokenson is a member of the International Union of Social Science Professionals (IUSSP) and a trustee of the Population Reference Bureau (PRB).   Mr. Hokenson is a member of the Executive Committee ofPRBand chairs the Investment Committee.  He is also a member of the Society of Labor Economists, the Population Association of America and the American Economic Association.  Mr. Hokenson is also a member of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Institute Approved Speaker List.

He holds an undergraduate degree in economics with honors from the University of California at Berkley and an M.A. in Economics from the University of Michigan.  Mr. Hokenson did his Ph.D. research at New York University.  Besides material published by Hokenson & Company, DLJ and CSFB, his written works include “Demographic Trends and the Impact on Municipal Finance” published in the Municipal Finance Journal (Winter 1994), “The Demographics of Global Investing” published in The Global Guide to Investing (Financial Times Press, September 1995) and “Migrant Labor” published in The China Economic Quarterly (September 2005).

Tickets

$10.00 Member Fee

$35.00 Guest Fee